Yuliya Tymoshenko decided wholeheartedly to play the role of dove of peace. Like a true peacemaker, she should denounce those who want to fuel warfare. And so Batkivshchyna leader said that President Poroshenko wanted to escalate military actions.
‘President Poroshenko intends to escalate the war in Ukraine to remain the president for the second term,’ Yuliya Tymoshenko, Batkivshchyna leader, said during Good Morning, Country, the UA: First TV show.
‘Poroshenko wants to initiate the great war in Ukraine so that its additional territories would be occupied. Then he would introduce state of emergency so as not to conduct the elections,’ stressed Tymoshenko. This is what her party website says.
Batkivshchyna leader also said that, to implement this plan, Poroshenko already had started negotiation process with the leader of the so called LNR and DNR that occupied the part of Donbas.
‘President and his circle have friendly relations with those who govern LNR and DNR fake entities,’ added Tymoshenko.
Yuliya Tymoshenko warned the president that the whole world would know about his treachery if he decided to realize this plan that ‘de facto means start of the new military escalation in Ukraine in order to preserve his power and avoid elections.’
‘We won’t allow you to do this. You must suppress your desire for corruption and preservation of power by any means,’ said Batkivshchyna leader.
This is grave accusation. My first impulse was to get out of my coach and run straight to the presidential administration to protest the war. The only thing that held me back was the realization that I had heard something similar before. Whoa! One week ago, Oleksandr Zakharchenko, the leader of the so called DNR, told exactly the same. He was cited by Komsomolska Pravda.
‘With rather active pre-election campaign now happening in Ukraine, leader of the Donetsk People’s Republic doesn’t believe in elections,’ this propagandistic media outlet writes, ‘He suggests that Poroshenko most likely will introduce martial law and cancel the elections. “After loss of the presidential post, he (editorial note: Poroshenko) will go straight to court. Not only he, but also his whole government: Yatseniuk, Turchynov, Avakov and several dozens of others. In this case, the simplest solution is to avoid elections altogether”, explained Oleksandr Zakharchenko’. He also told that Ukraine intended to drop an atomic bomb on the ‘young republic’ but forgot to specify where Ukraine would get it. Would Ukraine borrow it from Moscow?
Even earlier, the exact same statement was made by Oleksandr Kariakin, the former speaker of the so-called LNR parliament: ‘Today, this question is of utmost importance for Poroshenko, as martial law would allow him to remain on the throne for a certain period in future. He understands perfectly well that he wouldn’t win the next elections under any circumstances.’
In January of this year, several Russian political analysts also spoke about Poroshenko’s intentions to declare martial law to preserve his power. They were cited by another Russian propagandistic media outlet.
Why does our dove of peace sing in unison with Kremlin pawns?
I recall her speech during the New Course congress organized by her party. She stated that ‘corrupt Ukrainian authorities’ were interested in prolonging the war since they benefitted from it. Meanwhile, she did not once mention the name of Volodymyr Putin who started the war. It turns out that she, together with Kremlin and its bots, diverts attention from the real culprit of the war and instead places the responsibility on the Ukrainian authorities. Looks like Tymoshenko coordinates her propagandistic statements with Moscow.
And now let’s analyze how likely is the scenario predicted by Tymoshenko. Surely, we should brush aside idealistic statements that it is not possibly because it is not possible at all. We are sceptics and are used that politicians do not care about morals when real power is at stake. So, let’s imagine Poroshenko prepares the cynical scenario Tymoshenko talked about.
Poroshenko could be accused of anything but naivety. He understands perfectly well that he could agree with DNR and LNR only on some local skirmishes, but they won’t give persuasive reasons for introduction of martial law. For this, he needs full-blown war and the only way to achieve this is to talk directly to Putin, i.e. the president of the hostile country who has repeatedly called the Ukrainian government ‘junta’ and refused to engage in any business with its representatives. You decide whether this seems realistic.
Tymoshenko and others say that Poroshenko has no other choice but to declare martial law and cancel the elections if he wants to stay in power. His current rating is indeed low. He is even being compared to Yushchenko who lost 2010 elections with very poor result. But today’s situation is radically different. In 2010, there were several pronounced leaders of the election race, with Yushchenko trailing far behind them. Today Poroshenko lags only by a few percent. Considering administrative resource and possibility of obtaining autocephaly for the Ukrainian church that could increase his popularity, his chances are not that bad. Does he really need to risk declaring martial law that undoubtedly will stir controversy in the society?
Meanwhile, Putin’s willingness to escalate the military action is not out of question. In 2014, Russian aggression against Ukraine started after the Winter Olympics in Sochi. Today, Russia is hosting FIFA World Cup.
Who knows what weird idea could come to the Russian dictator’s mind. If he escalates indeed, Yuliya Tymoshenko will throw her arms in the air and say: ‘My dear ones, I have warned you!’ In the eyes of people devoid of critical thinking, Poroshenko will be the one to blame.